Recap:
Sell-off from 5700 on Monday was seen.
Weekly Analysis:
Daily Analysis:
Summary:
Weekly paused, daily reversed. However, no sign of reversal yet. 5715-5740 level will still should be a decisive resistance. If broken look for the BrRL to hold (but as of now that's too far!).
With 200 SMA around, it's going to be a natural support. The type of consolidation will determine the next course of action. Still look for good opportunity to short - as the long-term DOWN is intact.
Note:
With highly oversold status, metals look quite hot.
This blog attempts to analyze movement of Nifty through the age-old Point & Figure method. Weekly chart would imply the movement of Nifty for the weeks to come and not necessarily the immediate next week. Same is true for other time frame charts. As price action unfolds every week the charts speak for due course of action. DISCLAIMER: NOTHING IN THIS BLOG SHOULD BE TAKEN AS TRADE ADVICE
Friday, March 29, 2013
Friday, March 22, 2013
Nifty P&F (Wk 2503-2903) - long pole pullback 5685-5700 & downward target 5300
Recap:
Sell-off was quite quick, however straight from 62% Fib.
Weekly Analysis:
Daily Analysis:
Summary:
Weekly & Daily down. Double bottom broken. Long pole (20 boxes) in daily chart suggesting a pull-back, may be 5685 - 5700 level. BlSL & Double bottom broken suggesting channel bottom at 5300.
Of course remember the long-term VPO 4940!
Sell-off was quite quick, however straight from 62% Fib.
Weekly Analysis:
Daily Analysis:
Summary:
Weekly & Daily down. Double bottom broken. Long pole (20 boxes) in daily chart suggesting a pull-back, may be 5685 - 5700 level. BlSL & Double bottom broken suggesting channel bottom at 5300.
Of course remember the long-term VPO 4940!
Sunday, March 10, 2013
Nifty P&F (Wk 1103-1503) - quick sell-off @ (5985-6020) or consolidation for further up
Recap:
Expected minor "pullback", but market has shown significant strength.
Weekly Analysis:
Daily Analysis:
Summary:
Weekly UP, Daily Up. The pullback has been quite swift. In one go it has retraced 68% Fib!
If it was a false pullback, we should see a quick sell-off also from the channel top (@ 5985 - 6020) level. But if the responsive buyers have bought the 78% pullback from the top @ 6110, some consolidation should go on here, before we set a new Bull journey.
Expected minor "pullback", but market has shown significant strength.
Weekly Analysis:
Daily Analysis:
Summary:
Weekly UP, Daily Up. The pullback has been quite swift. In one go it has retraced 68% Fib!
If it was a false pullback, we should see a quick sell-off also from the channel top (@ 5985 - 6020) level. But if the responsive buyers have bought the 78% pullback from the top @ 6110, some consolidation should go on here, before we set a new Bull journey.
Friday, March 1, 2013
Nifty P&F (Wk 0403-0803) - likely long term reversal set in VPO 4940!
Recap:
VPO was 5760, it exceeded and went further below to 5685.
Weekly Analysis:
Daily Analysis:
Summary:
Weekly Down, Daily reversed. Refer weekly chart, it reaches the channel bottom. Expect a minor pullback. Though DOW theory has not broken 5580, it looks we are set for a big reversal.
If I go through the VPO, we are looking at a target of 4940!
VPO was 5760, it exceeded and went further below to 5685.
Weekly Analysis:
Daily Analysis:
Summary:
Weekly Down, Daily reversed. Refer weekly chart, it reaches the channel bottom. Expect a minor pullback. Though DOW theory has not broken 5580, it looks we are set for a big reversal.
If I go through the VPO, we are looking at a target of 4940!
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